Nigeria Specific

Will the Lagos metropolitan area population officially exceed 25 million by 2027?

Lagos is one of the fastest-growing cities on Earth and already one of the most populous metropolitan areas in Africa. Predict whether official or UN-recognised population estimates will place Greater Lagos above the 25 million mark by 2027. Consider rural-to-urban migration rates, birth rates, the absorption of surrounding towns into the metropolitan area, and the methodology of population counting in Nigeria. Market resolves based on official NPC (National Population Commission), UN Population Division, or World Bank estimates published for 2027.

Yes Odds

1.55x

No Odds

2.52x

Volume

N3.1M

Bettors

1,720

YES 1.55xNO 2.52x

Closes: December 2027

lagospopulationmegacityurbanisationNPCdemographics

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